Tag: Politics

  • Inside story of how Adeleke rode to victory in Osun — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

    Inside story of how Adeleke rode to victory in Osun — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

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    Saraki, Diri, Obaseki’s Role Laid Bare

    The outcome of the Osun governorship election held last weekend where the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) candidate, Senator Ademola Adeleke was declared winner is still a big shock to many Nigerians, especially chieftains of the All Progressives Congress (APC), living outside the state.

    However, to the party faithful residing in the state, the defeat had been foretold and was described as a self-inflicted injury.
     
    In the election described by observers as peaceful, free and fair, the incumbent governor and candidate of the APC, Gboyega Oyetola was defeated by Adeleke, who scored 403,371votes to emerge as the governor-elect of the state. Oyetola polled 375,027 votes. Action Democratic Party (ADP) candidate, Kehinde Atanda finished a distant third with 10,104 votes.
     
    The PDP candidate had his first shot at Osun Government House in 2018 in an election that was declared inconclusive, necessitating a controversial supplementary election in seven polling units, after which Adeleke was defeated by 482 votes. But Adeleke held on to his structure and returned to defeat the incumbent governor in 17 local councils while APC won in 13.

     
    The fall of APC in Osun State has kept tongues wagging as to how and why the party could not maintain its hold on the state with most members blaming the unresolved internal crisis among its leaders. It is not a secret that there is no love lost between Oyetola and former governor of the state and Minister of Interior, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola. Various efforts by the presidential candidate of the party, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Chief Bisi Akande to resolve the crisis were unsuccessful. At some point, the matter created a gulf between Tinubu and Aregbesola, who warned the National Leader of the party to “stop playing God.”

    Some members of the ruling party who spoke on condition of anonymity blamed their defeat on the lackadaisical attitude of President Muhammadu Buhari, whom they said refused to intervene directly between Aregbesola and Oyetola after the efforts of Chief Bisi Akande and Tinubu failed to yield result.
      
    The war of attrition between the duo polarised the party. Aregbesola and his supporters had accused Oyetola of reversing most of the policies of his predecessor in office in a manner that cast aspersion on the integrity of the Minister. But the governor, who thought he had to listen to the people’s outcry, did not regret reversing some policies, including the same school uniform for all secondary school students, taking over of all legacy schools by the government, half salaries for workers and other policies that had made Aregbesola unpopular before the end of his tenure.
      
    In reacting to Oyetola’s decisions, Aregbesola’s group, The Osun Progressives (TOP), opposed the governor’s second-term ambition. They sponsored another aspirant, a former Secretary to the State Government, Moshood Adeoti to contest in a parallel primary organised by Aregbesola’s faction of the APC. Oyetola secured the ticket of the main faction and TOP members approached the court seeking to nullify his candidature and recognise the primary election conducted by its faction. But their hopes were dashed on the eve of the election by the judgment of the Appeal Court, which affirmed Oyetola as the party’s candidate.

      
    APC sources disclosed that most members of TOP campaigned and voted for the PDP governorship candidate. “It is unfortunate that it was APC members that worked against the party. We saw them sharing money with people to support Adeleke. We know ourselves, it is no secret, that they gave the victory to Adeleke and PDP.”
      
    It was also gathered that workers in the state had agreed not to vote for Oyetola despite acknowledging he performed better than Aregbesola in terms of welfare and payment of salaries and allowances as and when due. To the workers, most second term governors underperform and do not care about workers welfare.
      
    Some of them who spoke to The Guardian said Aregbesola performed creditably well during his first term in office but suddenly introduced many anti-workers policies in his second term.
      
    One of the civil servants, who pleaded anonymity, told The Guardian that “At this moment, we don’t want a second term governor because of what we went through during Aregbesola’s second term. He suddenly became a monster and paid us half our salary at the period all other states were implementing a new minimum wage.
      
    “Besides, Oyetola was his Chief of Staff for eight years and he cannot completely absolve himself from the anti-people policies of Aregbesola’s administration. Unknown to many, Oyetola has not paid the backlog of salaries Aregbeola owed us. He inherited assets and ran away from a backlog of salaries and allowances. We campaigned against him and enlightened our people not to be persuaded with inducement during election.”
      
    The source said their campaign against vote-buying made many electorate to reject the N10, 000 shared by APC in many polling units to accept any amount PDP offered them. He argued that the money they collected from the PDP was not inducement but “appreciation” because they had made up their minds to vote for the PDP.

    Besides, the campaign against APC as a failed party that did not fulfill its campaign promises of restructuring, insecurity, inflation, unemployment and erratic power supply resonated to the grassroots, which made many to seek change.
      
    A party source said, “The performance of the Federal Government did not help us during the campaign. If you didn’t go out and meet people, you won’t know how people loathed our party in the state. Each time we go out on the house-to-house campaign, some questions they asked us about our performances at the federal level and our promises were too difficult to answer because we cannot pretend they are not real.”

      
    A chieftain of the party, Alhaji Saka Adegbite said: “How can we explain that we lost in Ila, Baba Akande’s local council or at Ejigbo and other areas that are APC strongholds. We thought the National Secretary of the party, Senator Iyiola Omisore will deliver all the three local councils in Ile-Ife, but we won two with slight margins. We saw it coming but we never thought it would be this bad.”
      
    It was also discovered that in 2018, APC was strong in about 15 to 16 local councils but due to the infighting, Ife Central where APC and SDP were strong four years ago was overrun by PDP last weekend. Places like Ejigbo, Ila, Ife South, Aiyedire and others were also weakened because of the crisis, giving PDP the advantage.
      
    Ikire and Iwo local councils also fell victim as a result of the APC fracas. Although the likes of Oluwo of Iwo in Iwo local council boasted he would deliver the area to APC, he couldn’t because of the crisis. A former SSG to Aregbesola who also contested the APC governorship primary but lost to Oyetola was strong in Osun West.
      
    The crisis in the party worsened when the party leadership constituted the 2022 Osun State Governorship Council, chaired by Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu of Lagos and his co-chairman, Governor Umaru Ganduje, who were Tinubu’s right-hand men while excluding Aregbesola’s name. The development pushed most loyalists of the minister out of the party to align with Adeleke.

    Last Minute Plot Against Oyetola’s Return
    IT was gathered that on the eve of the election, former Deputy Speaker of House of Representatives, Lasun Yussuff, who also left APC to take up the ticket of the Labour Party directed his followers to vote for Adeleke.
       
    In a similar vein, Aregbesola, who deliberately travelled out of the country, also allegedly directed his loyalists to cast their votes for Adeleke to spite the governor.
      
    A chieftain of Osun APC, Alhaji Liad Tella described the victory of PDP “as a triumph of darkness over light” basically due to the protracted infighting among stakeholders in the ruling party. He said all is not lost, promising that the party will soon bounce back.

    Fall Out Of 2020 COVID-19 Palliative
    Not many people would realise that part of the undoing of APC in Osun State is the manner in which some party members allegedly mismanaged the COVID-19 palliative handouts that were supposed to be distributed to alleviate the people’s suffering then.

      
    A commercial motorcycle, Lani, told The Guardian that Adeleke warmed himself into the hearts of many citizens of Osun not only because he dances but because he is also very caring and kind.
      
    According to him, “Majority of us are furious with the APC government because it is full of deceit and lies. In 2020, the party deliberately hoarded the COVID-19 palliative food items meant to alleviate the suffering of the masses until we discovered the stores and broke into them. Since then, the majority of us had made up our mind that Oyetola will not get a second term.”

    Saraki, Diri, Obaseki’s Role In PDP’s Victory
    The PDP selected some of its most experienced strategists for the National Campaign Council. In the campaign council, three members devoted more time and resources to the campaigns, particularly in the last few days of the election. The trio, who chose to give more time to the Adeleke campaign, were former Senate President, Dr. Abubakar Bukola Saraki, Bayelsa State Governor, Sen. Duoye Diri, and his Edo State counterpart, Mr Godwin Obaseki.
      
    While Diri was the chairman of the National Campaign Council, Obaseki who has known the PDP’s candidate’s elder brother, Deji Adeleke since their days in the financial sector in Lagos also felt obliged to share his experience in similar elections in 2020 when he was seeking re-election and had similar APC forces arrayed against him. His victory strategy was therefore needed and he decided to help the party in the same way the party helped him to defeat the APC forces.

       
    As for Saraki, there were many reasons his interest in seeing PDP and the Adeleke win in Osun State. First, Osun State is a neighbouring state to his own Kwara State and he needed to ensure Osun State would not be used to sabotage PDP in Kwara State in next year’s election. Second, as the chairman of the PDP National Reconciliation and Strategic Committee (NRSC), Saraki handled the resolution of the crisis in the party in the state and is very well aware of the issues, personalities, and need for unity in Osun PDP if the party were to make any impact in the governorship polls. It thus became a challenge for him to help the Adeleke’s in making a last-minute rally of all forces and persons behind the candidate in order to defeat the divided APC.
      
    Third, while his late father, Oloye Olusola Saraki was a colleague of the patriarch of the Adeleke’s in the Second Republic Senate, he and the late eldest brother of the Adeleke’s, Isiaka Adetunji were colleagues in the 7th and 8th Senate. Later, when Ademola, the PDP candidate replaced his late brother in the 8th Senate, he was a loyal supporter of Saraki, who was then Senate President. Fourth, the Saraki and Adeleke families remain the only two nuclear families to have produced three members of the Nigerian Senate respectively. Also, Deji Adeleke, the surviving eldest of the Adeleke brothers is a good friend of Saraki. Thus, for all these reasons, Saraki decided to throw in all the support for the Adeleke.
      
    Saraki and his team moved from Ilorin where he had been since the eve of the last Eid-El- Kabir festival to Ede, the Adelekes’ hometown on Wednesday morning (July 13, 2022) and immediately on arrival went into a meeting with all the PDP polling agents. The venue of the training handled by the former Senate President was the Adeleke University, Ede. There, he shared some strategic lessons with the agents on how to carry out their assignments on polling day. He also emphasised to them the importance of their roles to the success of the party on Election Day.
       
    The presence of such a dignitary not only inspired and encouraged the party agents but also emphasised to them how serious and ready the Osun PDP and the candidate’s campaign were about the election.
      
    After the training session with party agents, Saraki drove back to Osogbo, the state capital with Deji Adeleke, the candidate’s elder brother to join PDP Governors who were getting ready to meet with ex-Governor Olagunsoye Oyinlola at his Osogbo GRA residence. The meeting was actually at the instance of Saraki, who believed that Oyinlola was aggrieved and needed to be pacified and appeased to support Adeleke. The party was able to appease Oyinlola and reconciled him with Adeleke.
      
    Saraki went back to Ede that same night to meet with the PDP governorship candidate and his team where the meeting reviewed the preparation for the election and checked if all the necessary boxes had been ticked concerning critical areas of election preparation – security and logistics.
      
    By Thursday morning, Saraki and his team were in Osogbo to coordinate the PDP mega rally. On Friday morning, Saraki commenced another series of meetings with aggrieved party stakeholders from each of the three senatorial districts. The first set was the people from Osun East. This particular one took up most of the day. At the end of the day, the issues appeared resolved and the party seemed ready for a good outing on Saturday.
      
    On Election Day, as early as 6:00 am, Saraki was already in the situation room to start coordination. He was also joined by the two governors to supervise the situation room. They were practically getting reports from party agents, field officers, and observers across the state. The three men and their teams did not sleep until the results were announced in the early hours of Sunday morning.
      
    It was because of their critical roles that soon after being pronounced the winner, Adeleke prostrated before his elder brother, Deji, held tightly to each of Saraki, Diri and Obaseki for their kind interventions that saved the day.

    MEANWHILE, unlike in the APC where those who were disgruntled with the party successfully worked against Oyetola’s victory, some of the former PDP chieftains, such as Dr Akin Ogunbiyi; House of Representatives aspirant in Ede Federal Constituency, Ayodele Asalu (Asler); factional state chairman of PDP, Wale Ojo; running mate to the PDP candidate in the 2018 governorship election and former member of the House of Representatives, Hon. Albert Adeogun, who left the party angrily to the APC couldn’t wreak much havoc on the party’s chances.
      
    The overwhelming popularity of Adeleke dynasty and the love from people of the state notwithstanding, his shortcomings and controversies surrounding his reported Christian-Christian ticket and capacity worked in favour of the major opposition party.

    Also speaking, a member of the Senate, Senator Francis Fadahunsi described the victory as liberation of the poor masses in Osun.

    He said: “This is a victory for democracy and liberation for the suffering masses in Osun. We have to thank Senator Bukola Saraki, former Senate President, incoming Vice President of PDP, and Governor Okowa, these are the people that really backed Osun PDP including Adeleke’s senior brother, Deji Adeleke. These are the people who stood by Senator Adeleke to the last.
      
    “We have to also thank Ademola for his large-heartedness and bravery, if not, he would have run away. What will happen in 2023 is already known, we are going to win the presidency and all National Assembly seats with the backing of the incoming Governor Ademola Adeleke and Governor Seyi Makinde. Automatically, we will win the elections with the cooperation of the party leaders. It’s time for Osun to work and Governor-elect Ademola Adeleke is here to make it work,” Fadahunsi said.



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  • Hundreds protest against Tunisia draft constitution as vote looms | Politics News

    Hundreds protest against Tunisia draft constitution as vote looms | Politics News

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    Older and younger generations march in Tunis to reject President Kais Saied’s draft constitution, days ahead of a referendum.

    Tunis, Tunisia – Hundreds of people have rallied in Tunis to protest against a draft constitution proposed by President Kais Saied, two days before a planned referendum on the charter.

    The National Salvation Front alliance of opposition groups led a march through the Tunisian capital on Saturday to reject the president’s constitution change programme and decried what they call an undemocratic and illegal process.

    Many of the protesters were from the older generation, who had lived under former President Zine Abbedine Ben Ali and took part in the 2011 revolution which forced him from office.

    Among them was Amna Fehty, an Ennadha supporter who said she was there to “fight for freedom and democracy”.

    “We cannot progress or have any power in this world under a dictatorship,” she told Al Jazeera.

    “I do not want to see our children live as slaves under a dictator.”

    protesters hold tunisian flag
    People take part in a protest against President Kais Saied’s draft constitution ahead of a referendum [Zoubeir Souissi/Retuers]

    Tension has been rising in the country in advance of the vote amid fears that the draft constitution would serve as the basis of a new hyper-presidential government system.

    The referendum is being held one year after Saied suspended the parliament and sacked the government in what his opponents call a power grab. The president said he was responding to the popular will and saving the country from imminent danger.

    He soon began ruling by decree and has dismantled some of the country’s democratic state institutions including the Supreme Judicial Council, while pushing for a new constitution, a draft of which was published last month.

    The charter would limit the powers of the parliament and judiciary and enshrine the powers he has accumulated over the past year.

    A member of the executive committee of the National Salvation Front called Monday’s referendum “another link in a series of illegal events.”

    “We are here to state for history that we believe this new constitution is completely illegitimate and will continue to respect the 2014 constitution,” Jaohar ben Mbarek told Al Jazeera.

    There were also some younger people among the crowds at Saturday’s rally. They said that Kais Saied is stealing their chance to develop their democracy.

    Alabbas Ben Abdennabi, a 22-year-old business studies student, told Al Jazeera “Kais Saied did a coup d’etat, he betrayed the Tunisian people who voted for him … [Saied] wants to be like a sultan.”

    Ammen Ekalini, a 20-year-old activist, came to the demonstration with fellow students and said they are undeterred by the referendum and ready to fight for democracy.

    “We want the world to know that we are the generation of democracy,” he told Al Jazeera.

    “We know how much our parents suffered under dictatorship, they were here [on Avenue Habib Bourguiba, Tunis] in 2011 during the revolution. We know this constitution will go through. It says in Article 139 that whether yes or no wins, it will be activated.”

    Duaa Naceur, an 18-year-old high school student, told Al Jazeera, “Saied wants to steal all our rights, but we won’t let him.”

    “Our message to the world is: help us rebuild our democracy. We are capable, we can do it.”

    Saturday’s peaceful rally followed a protest the previous evening where police arrested several protesters and violently beat activists.

    Al Jazeera witnessed violent beatings and use of pepper spray at Friday’s protest.

    The Ministry of the Interior said protesters initiated the violence against police.

    The Tunisian labour union UGTT condemned the police violence and demanded the release of detainees and a full investigation saying, “We hold the president accountable for this authoritarian deviation.”

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  • Wickremesinghe sworn in as Sri Lankan president amid protests | Politics News

    Wickremesinghe sworn in as Sri Lankan president amid protests | Politics News

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    Six-time prime minister and veteran politician an unpopular choice among protesters who forced his predecessor out.

    Ranil Wickremesinghe has been sworn in as Sri Lanka’s eighth president by the country’s chief justice.

    The 73 year old, who has been prime minister six times, took the oath of office on Thursday morning, the president’s media office said.

    Wickremesinghe won 134 votes in the 225 member parliament in a secret vote on Wednesday, after Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled the country amid months of protests and a deepening economic crisis.

    Protesters have also objected to Wickremesinghe becoming president, saying he is too close to the discredited Rajapaksa family.

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  • Lagos too important for PDP daydreamers — APC — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

    Lagos too important for PDP daydreamers — APC — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

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    1 day ago

    The Senator representing Ondo South senatorial district, Nicholas Tofowomo, has sued a former Deputy Governor of Ondo State, Agboola Ajayi, at the Federal High Court, Akure over his victory in the PDP primary election ahead the 2023 polls.

    1 day ago

    A Lagos-based lawyer, Chris Okeke, has stated that any law that seeks to legislate on the appointment of a vice presidential candidate is null and void.

    1 day ago

    Some suspected political thugs have allegedly vandalised property of some traders at Old Garage, in Osogbo, following the outcome of the Osun State governorship election.

    1 day ago

    The National Inland Waterways Authority (NIWA) has released a new regulation to curb rising cases of boat accidents and loss of lives.

    1 day ago

    Former governor of Imo State, Emeka Ihedioha, has described the emergence of the governor-elect of Osun State, Ademola Adeleke, as a true reflection of people’s confidence in him.

    1 day ago

    The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) might be left with no option but to resume storage of sensitive election materials with the Central Bank of Nigeria.



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  • Nkechi Blessing slams critics of celebrities joining politics

    Nkechi Blessing slams critics of celebrities joining politics

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    Nkechi Blessing slams critics of celebrities joining politics

    Nollywood actress, Nkechi Blessing, has slammed critics of celebrities who have decided to join the Nigerian political scene.

    In a video making rounds on the internet, Blessing tagged those mocking her colleagues for joining politics as hypocrites.

    According to her, whenever a tragedy happens in any part of the country, Nigerians usually call on celebrities to lend their voices to the situation.

    She said that although celebrities are no longer merely lending their voices but also getting active in politics, many Nigerians are mocking them for the move.

    The actress said, “Some of you Nigerians are hypocrites. If anything goes wrong in the country, maybe it is a case of kidnap or killing, you all will be clamouring, ‘where is our celebrities?’, ‘they are not talking now’, ‘they’ve paid them,’ blah blah blah.

    “But now these celebrities you people call all the time to come to your rescue. They’re are not only lending their voices, they’re also getting involved. Then you guys changed the story. ‘Eh, do you think this is Nollywood?’, ‘Is this a joke to you?’, ‘Is politics a joke to you?’

    “What exactly do you people want? You that you can use your own voice, your own hand and speak to the government to listen to you, you’re not coming out to participate in any of the political activities going on in Nigeria. The celebrities you’ve been calling for years are now getting involved, and you’re making it a joke.”

    The actress further stated that she is “super proud” of her colleagues joining politics, especially women contesting as deputy governors.

    She said, “I am super proud of every celebrity out there, especially the females coming out to be deputy governors because they want to tackle the problem from where you think it pains.

    “Forget the fact that they are entertainers. All of the people that are coming out, the likes of aunty Funke Akindele, Tonto Dikeh, and Caroline. These people are educated.

    “They are respected people in their society. The same people that have been calling them over the years are now saying, ‘shey you think say na Nollywood we dey do for here?’”

    With the upcoming 2023 elections, several Nollywood entertainers have thrown in their hats for various political positions.

    While many Nigerians on social media have applauded their decision to step into the political arena, many others are skeptical of their ability to provide solutions to Nigeria’s numerous problems.

    Entertainers joining the political train include singer, Olubankole Wellington, popularly known as Banky W, who is contesting as a member of the House of Representatives under the People’s Democratic Party.

    Actresses Tonto Dikeh and Funke Akindele are both running as deputy governorship candidates in Rivers and Lagos State respectively.

    Caroline Danjuma, also announced on Monday, that she had been chosen as the running mate for Iboro Otu, Akwa Ibom governorship candidate under the African Action Congress.

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  • Troubles as APC legal adviser says 30 cases filed against party in N’west — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

    Troubles as APC legal adviser says 30 cases filed against party in N’west — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

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    The road to 2023 appears to be rough for the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) as its legal field operations committee from the Northwest disclosed that no fewer than 30 cases have been instituted against the party at the end of the various primary elections held in the zone.

    This was disclosed by the national legal adviser of APC, Ahmed Usman El-Marzuq, while addressing newsmen after a maiden visit to Kaduna. He also assured that the cases will not affect the party in next year’s general elections.

    He said the committee will carry out a similar visit to the remaining five political zones across the country to address any legal issues within the party.

    “Today the zonal Legal field operations committee met in Kaduna. In attendance were legal advisers from Kano, Kebbi, Kaduna, Sokoto, as well as legal advisers from the National headquarters,” El-Marzuq said.

    According to him, the purpose of the meeting was to address legal issues that have emanated from the primary elections during the state Assemblies, Governorship, House of Representatives, Senate and Presidential elections.

    “During such exercises, issues of complaints and petitions are usually received. The law has provided remedies for such complaints to be pursued in the various courts in the land.”

    El- Marzuq noted that, at this stage, other parties as well as aggrieved party members will employ legal representation, hence, the meeting was intended to strategize ahead of the 2023 elections. 

    The legal adviser explained that, the maiden meeting availed them the opportunity to know the number of cases filed in the various courts, saying, they have so far recorded 30 cases in the Northwest zone. 

    Highlighting on the cases, he said some are coming from even the opposition parties, but was quick to add that, the cases will not affect the fortunes of the party in next year’s general elections.



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  • Conservative leadership race live: Rishi Sunak says he will ‘scrap or reform all EU law, red tape and bureaucracy’ | Politics

    Conservative leadership race live: Rishi Sunak says he will ‘scrap or reform all EU law, red tape and bureaucracy’ | Politics

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    Sunak pledges to review 2,400 transferred EU laws before next election

    Rishi Sunak is touting on social media a piece he has written for the Sunday Telegraph, promising: “If I am elected, by the time of the next election, I will have scrapped or reformed all of the EU law, red tape and bureaucracy that is still on our statute book and slowing economic growth.”

    The paper describes Sunak as “brandishing his Brexiteer credentials”. Edward Malnick writes:

    The former chancellor pledged that he will have “scrapped or reformed all of the EU law, red tape and bureaucracy that is still on our statute book and slowing economic growth” by the time of the next election if he succeeds Boris Johnson as prime minister.

    Sunak said he would task a Brexit minister and a new Brexit Delivery Department with reviewing all 2,400 EU laws transferred over to the UK statute book after the UK’s exit from the bloc. He would demand the first set of recommendations as to whether each law should be scrapped or reformed “within my first 100 days in the job”.

    Specific pledges included overhauling retained EU regulations “to trigger a Big Bang 2.0” for the City, with his team saying he would set a target “to make London once again the world’s leading financial centre by 2027”.

    He also said he would replace the EU-derived GDPR data laws with “the most dynamic data protection regime in the world” and cut red tape slowing down clinical trials.

    • This post was amended on 17 July 2022 to remove a reference to Sunak supporting remain in 2016. He supported leave.

    Key events:

    Rees-Mogg says Sunak promise on repealing EU law is ‘surprising’

    Brexit opportunities minister Jacob Rees-Mogg has just described as “surprising” the pledge of Rishi Sunak to review all 2,400 EU laws transferred over to the UK statute book before the next election [see 12.28pm].

    Rees-Mogg has tweeted:

    This is a surprising promise as the Treasury under his leadership was insisting that taxation was exempt from the removal of EU law.

    This is a surprising promise as the Treasury under his leadership was insisting that taxation was exempt from the removal of EU law. https://t.co/DON7zn9mPB

    — Jacob Rees-Mogg (@Jacob_Rees_Mogg) July 17, 2022

    That would appear to confirm the reporting of Bloomberg earlier [see 16.17] who claimed to have seen documents from late June when the Treasury, then under Sunak’s leadership, was saying it should be in charge of any review of EU legislation, and that the Rees-Mogg timetable of sunsetting it by 2026 was too ambitious.

    These are the actual head-to-head numbers in that ConservativeHome polling, which hasn’t given a margin of error figure. They show Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak picking up support among their panel as Penny Mordaunt struggles to retain it

    @ConHome Members Run-Off Poll:

    Mordaunt Vs Sunak:

    Sunak: 43% (+2)
    Mordaunt: 41% (-17)

    Sunak Vs Truss:

    Truss: 49% (-2)
    Sunak: 42% (+8)

    Mordaunt Vs Truss:

    Truss: 48% (+15)
    Mordaunt: 41% (-10)

    Changes w/ last Monday.

    — Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) July 17, 2022

    The first quick takes on those figures from the ConservativeHome website are that they indicate the race is potentially fast-moving and very volatile. Here is pollster Matt Singh.

    Volatile. You’d expect that from an unstratified sample, but I think we now have plenty of evidence that the reality genuinely can change quickly… https://t.co/xGDQ1ii7xf

    — Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) July 17, 2022

    It could, of course, be that the methodology or sample is all over the place.

    It will surely be a bit more reliable than a Lord Ashcroft poll of random people who click buttons on Twitter though, which for some reason Harborough MP Neil O’Brien is getting excited about.

    Speaking of ConservativeHome, it has published its latest head-to-head run-off poll ratings, and the headline is “Both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss would defeat Penny Mordaunt in the membership ballot were it held today” – with the important caveat “if our survey is correct”.

    Paul Goodman goes on to write in the piece:

    Truss is the overall winner – beating both Mordaunt and Sunak. The case Team Badenoch will be making to Conservative MPs this weekend, drawing on our result yesterday that found her the most popular candidate, will be: “Truss is finished – vote for Kemi.” To which Team Truss, pointing to this latest result, will be able to counter: “Liz can beat all comers in the final – hang on in there.”

    Anecdotes are not data, but Orpington MP Gareth Bacon has just published what he says was a straw poll of Conservative members in his constituency who are overwhelmingly backing Kemi Badenoch.

    Bacon goes on to say on Twitter: “She’s fearless, has a fresh perspective, and would lead a tightly focused government that gets the big stuff right. She deserves to be one of the final two candidates for members to decide.”

    I was delighted to talk to a packed Orpington Conservative Association meeting about the leadership election and hear their views on the candidates.

    We took a straw poll, and members overwhelmingly backed @KemiBadenoch to lead our party and country. @BackingBadenoch 1/2 pic.twitter.com/ZUukYfTY2a

    — Gareth Bacon MP (@GarethBaconMP) July 17, 2022

    It does chime with the panel survey on the ConservativeHome website published yesterday, which handed Badenoch a double-digit lead.

    Bloomberg has published a piece this afternoon casting doubt on Rishi Sunak’s ability to deliver on his promise today to review or repeal all transferred EU law on the statute books by the time of the next election. The Bloomberg article claims:

    Documents seen by Bloomberg show that a senior Treasury official working for Sunak when he was still Chancellor of the Exchequer privately demanded that EU-derived tax laws be exempted from legislation to scrap so-called retained EU law, or REUL.

    Lucy Frazer, the financial secretary to the Treasury, said in a letter that it was not feasible to simply rip up EU laws that had been integral to British tax policy and case law for four decades. She argued that the Treasury should take charge of more carefully repealing the laws during future finance bills to prevent the government from becoming mired in litigation. She also suggested it would not be possible to sunset retained EU law by 2026.

    Brexit opportunities minister Jacob Rees-Mogg had written to colleagues on 1 June proposing that all of the REUL be sunset by 2026. Sunak appears to be bringing that date forward in today’s pledge, despite his own officials having cautioned against even aiming for 2026.

    Read more here: Bloomberg – Sunak’s promise on EU law defies advice of his treasury team

    During her media appearance on Times Radio this morning, attorney general Suella Braverman described Penny Mordaunt as “woke”, saying “My view of Penny is that she is woke, yes. I have no disrespect to her for her woke views, but I think we should call it out for what it is.”

    Bury South Labour MP Christian Wakeford has tweeted in response, saying “The term woke essentially means someone who is concerned about social issues that may not necessarily affect them, largely centred on race and gender.”

    “When,” he asks, “as a people did we become so unkind and unwilling to listen to others?”

    The term woke essentially means someone who is concerned about social issues that may not necessarily affect them, largely centred on race and gender.

    When as a people did we become so unkind and unwilling to listen to others? https://t.co/7rQBn0kk3X

    — Christian Wakeford MP (@Christian4BuryS) July 17, 2022

    Diane Taylor

    Diane Taylor

    The Home Office has been accused of misrepresenting the UN refugee agency’s stance on sending asylum seekers to Rwanda, in a new disagreement between the two organisations, the Guardian has learned.

    The Home Office and UNHCR have clashed previously over the safety and suitability of the Home Office’s policy of forcibly removing some asylum seekers who have recently arrived in the UK on small boats or in the back of lorries to Rwanda to have their claims processed there.

    A high court hearing on 10 June was told that Home Office misled refugees about UN involvement in Rwanda plans.

    But despite UNHCR making its position on the government’s Rwanda scheme clear during the court hearing, the Home Office is continuing to state UNHCR is supportive of the controversial scheme.

    A Home Office spokesperson said: “Our own assessment of Rwanda has found it is a fundamentally safe and secure country with a track record of supporting asylum seekers, including working with the UN Refugee Agency, which said the country has a safe and protective environment for refugees.”

    A UNHCR UK spokesperson told the Guardian: “UNHCR holds serious concerns with regard to specific shortcomings of the Rwandan asylum system and Rwanda’s capacity to offer long-term solutions for those being removed under the proposed deal.”

    Read more of Diane Taylor’s report here: Home Office in fresh row with UNHCR over Rwanda asylum policy

    Patrick Wintour, the Guardian’s diplomatic editor, raises an interesting question about Tom Tugendhat’s suggestion that energy prices can be brought down “if we can put Putin on the back foot, if we can liberate those gas fields that he has been dominating”.

    “How is Tugendhat planning to liberate the gas fields Russia is dominating?” my colleague asks. “Is he planning to invade Siberia?”

    John Harris

    John Harris

    John Harris writes for us today, arguing that what is missing from the Conservative leadership contest is a Tory candidate with the faintest idea of what modern Britain is actually like:

    A huge amount of energy has been expended on talk of tax cuts, and a debate only about whether they should come sooner – or, as per the view of Rishi Sunak, later. There is across-the-board backing – even from Tom Tugendhat, the supposed representative of a more compassionate Conservatism – for sending refugees to Rwanda, surely the single most monstrous Tory policy of the past 12 years. Amid baking temperatures, there has been almost no serious discussion of the climate emergency. To the delight of her backers in the rightwing media, Kemi Badenoch, the only serious contender who has appeared to offer anything radical, seems to want post-Thatcher Toryism to be taken to its logical conclusion, whereby government does no more than the “essentials”; although the politicians in charge of it must also guard against anything in the culture deemed “unsound” (remarkably, one of her chosen targets is Ben & Jerry’s ice-cream, as if she speaks for an imaginary constituency of diehards who walk past the freezer cabinets in Waitrose and spit feathers).

    In response to any suggestions that fundamental change is needed, any staunch Tory would presumably cite their party’s winning of an 80-seat majority in the Commons. But its aura of strength is partly down to an equally weak and confused Labour party – and in any case, the Conservatives are now faced with an unarguable and increasingly uncomfortable set of political facts. If Badenoch, Suella Braverman and that zealous Brexit convert Liz Truss often sound like politicians frantically trying to change the country before it is too late, it may be because somewhere in their political subconscious, they well know that their time is running out.

    Read more here: John Harris – Wanted: a Tory candidate with the faintest idea of what modern Britain is actually like

    The Economist has updated its odds tracker for the Conservative leadership race, with Rishi Sunak sneaking back in front of Penny Mordaunt as the politician people think will most likely be the next prime minister. The graph isn’t based on polling data of the people who will actually make the decision, it is showing a % chance of becoming next Conservative leader implied from Betfair Exchange.

    Most importantly, as head of data journalism at the Economist, Alex Selby-Boothroyd, points out, it is making a pleasing infinity symbol for those of you, who like me, enjoy seeing patterns in things that probably aren’t there.

    Rob Davies

    Rob Davies

    Loot boxes in video games will not be banned in the UK, despite a government consultation finding evidence of a “consistent” association between the features and problem gambling.

    Loot boxes have attracted comparison with gambling because they allow players to spend money to unlock in-game rewards, such as special characters, weapons or outfits, without knowing what they will get.

    The features, popular in games such as Call of Duty and the Fifa football series, were effectively banned in Belgium in 2018, but the culture minister, Nadine Dorries, said the UK would not follow suit.

    Instead, after a 22-month consultation, she said the government would discuss tougher “industry-led” protections with the UK’s £7bn gaming sector, drawing allegations from one expert that “foxes are guarding the hen house”.

    Legislating to impose curbs or a prohibition on loot boxes as part of an expected overhaul of the UK’s gambling laws could have “unintended consequences”, Dorries said.

    “For example, legislation to introduce an outright ban on children purchasing loot boxes could have the unintended effect of more children using adult accounts, and thus having more limited parental oversight of their play and spending,” the government said, in a response to the consultation published in the early hours of Sunday morning.

    The government also concluded that while there was “a stable and consistent” association between loot boxes and problem gambling – identified across 15 peer reviewed studies – it could not be sure that there was a causative link.

    While the Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS) stopped short of proposing legislation, Dorries said: “Children and young people should not be able to purchase loot boxes without parental approval. In addition, all players should have access to spending controls and transparent information to support their gaming.”

    Read more of Rob Davies’ report here: UK will not ban video games loot boxes despite problem gambling findings

    Stephen Bush has just published a piece at the FT in which he argues that Rishi Sunak needs to up his game in tonight’s debate – not because he wasn’t good on Friday, but because he is struggling to convince the party membership that he is for them. Bush says:

    The former chancellor’s performance in Friday’s debate was brilliant. He was clear, concise and demonstrated exactly what his supporters see in him. But he doesn’t have enough support to win: every survey suggests he will lose to whoever faces him in the final round. His biggest problem, I think, is that he is seen as a tax-raising moderate by members.

    Sunak’s strategy has all too often resembled that of Ken Clarke: telling Conservative members that, yes, they may disagree with him, but he is their best chance of winning an election. That tactic ended in failure for Clarke in 1997, 2001 and 2005 and there is no reason to believe it will work better for Sunak.

    Bush also identified what he sees at the core of the struggle for the support of the right of the party between Kemi Badenoch and Liz Truss, writing:

    Badenoch’s hopes rest on appearing to be a more straight-talking and articulate alternative for the party’s right than Truss, and it helps that she is free and able to criticise the departing government.

    Truss needs to retain the support of Boris Johnson’s remaining allies in the media and the parliamentary party if she is to remain in pole position to unite the Conservative right. On TV, she managed to stick to that position by staying loyal to Johnson. Her reward is the continued loyalty and support of much of the rightwing press, but it comes at a cost because the departing prime minister is now incredibly unpopular.

    You can read more here: FT – Stephen Bush – In the second debate, it’s Rishi Sunak who needs to change gear

    Dr Philippa Whitford, the SNP’s health spokesperson in Westminster, appears to have laughed off the suggestion coming out of Scottish Conservative MP John Lamont and Penny Mordaunt’s campaign that Mordaunt would be the candidate that the SNP fear winning the most.



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  • Why issues-driven campaigns should be encouraged — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

    Why issues-driven campaigns should be encouraged — Politics — The Guardian Nigeria News – Nigeria and World News

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    12 Jul

    A coalition of Christians of Northern extraction in the All Progressive Congress (APC) has warned that the Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket of the party for the 2023 general elections would have serious and grave consequences. The coalition comprising of christian politicians in the 19 Northern States within APC, said they cannot in all fairness to their…

    4 days ago

    A woman leader of All Progressive Congress (APC), in Ikorodu area of Lagos, Mrs. Temitope Elizabeth Abolarin, has cried out to Lagos State Police Command over alleged threat to her life and family by gunmen in her Lagos residence.

    4 days ago

    Publisher of The Beacon, a magazine based in Jos, Plateau State, Shabul Mazadu, has expressed discontent over the Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

    4 days ago

    Chieftain of Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Akwa Ibom State and pioneer national publicity secretary of the party, Senator Anietie Okon, has called on the party’s presidential candidate in the 2023 election…

    4 days ago

    The All Progressives Congress (APC) in Kano State has initiated moves to reconcile aggrieved members, who are challenging the last primary election in the state in court.

    4 days ago

    Ahead of the 2023 general elections in the country, the Conference of Nigerian Political Parties (CNPP) has called on all presidential candidates and others vying for elective offices to undergo the National Drug Law Endorsement Agency (NDLEA) drug integrity test and submit their medical certificate of fitness.



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